The Origin Ledger.

Ethiopian coffee, written down: regions, processing, grading, price and logistics. Sourced, and where the published numbers disagree, we print the disagreement.

How to choose a coffee origin

How to choose a coffee origin for a blend, single origin or private label. Based on ICO, USDA and EU sources. Check grade, cup score, freight and EUDR first.

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World coffee supply 2026/27

World coffee supply 2026/27 is forecast at a record 189.7 million bags, with stocks rising and prices down. What the USDA and ICO numbers mean for importers.

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Ethiopian coffee production 2026/27

Ethiopian coffee production is forecast at a record 12.1 million bags for 2026/27. See how much is exported, how much stays home, and what that means for you..

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Ethiopia vs Vietnam coffee

Ethiopia vs Vietnam coffee on USDA 2026/27 figures: Vietnam grows 31.4 million bags of Robusta, Ethiopia grows Arabica only. Pick the species before the origin.

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Ethiopia vs Indonesia coffee

Ethiopia vs Indonesia coffee on USDA 2026/27 figures: similar total output, very different species. Indonesia is mostly Robusta, Ethiopia all Arabica.

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Ethiopia vs Colombia coffee

Ethiopia vs Colombia coffee on USDA 2026/27 figures: two Arabica origins of similar size that differ on exports and home demand. See what that means for buyers.

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Ethiopia vs Brazil coffee

Ethiopia vs Brazil coffee on USDA 2026/27 figures: output, exports, home demand and stocks. Where Brazil wins, where Ethiopia fits, and what to ask a supplier.

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Coffee prices 2026

Coffee prices 2026 on the ICO composite index: 273.70 cents in March, 266.24 in April, 262.18 in September. What drove each move and what it means for buyers.

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Brazil Arabica cycle

The Brazil Arabica cycle swings world supply by 5 to 10 million bags. What the USDA says about on-years, off-years and why a second origin matters to buyers.

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Arabica vs Robusta exports 2026

Arabica vs Robusta exports 2026: ICO data show Arabica shipments falling and Robusta rising over twelve months, while the USDA sees a record crop in 2026/27.

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The 2025/26 harvest, looked at again

What exporters reported about Ethiopia's 2025/26 season: cherry prices roughly tripled, washed lots ran short, naturals ran long, and FOB asking prices moved up. What it means for the next buying round.

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EU deforestation rule, October 2026

A new ODI Global estimate puts Ethiopian coffee export earnings at risk from the EU deforestation rule at $160 million to $453 million. The numbers, the dates, and what a buyer should ask for.

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Coffee was born here

Arabica grows wild in the forests of southwestern Ethiopia, and the region of Kaffa gives the plant its most likely name. What that means for a buyer sourcing Ethiopian coffee today.

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Ethiopia's biggest coffee year ever

Ethiopia earned about $3 billion from coffee exports in 2025/26, a national record, at an average near $7,500 per ton. What is behind the number and what it means for buyers.

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Washed and natural. One fruit, two philosophies

How washed and natural processing change an Ethiopian coffee, why Yirgacheffe built its name on one and Guji and Harrar on the other, and what each does to the cup.

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What specialty green actually costs

Ethiopian specialty green trades at roughly $6 to $13 per kilo FOB depending on grade, region, process and season, with the 2025/26 average near $7.50. Not the $20 to $40 that circulates online.

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What G1 actually means

Ethiopian export grades count defects in a 300 gram sample. Washed Grade 1 allows 0 to 3 defects, Grade 2 up to 12, and naturals are allowed more. The grade describes the sorting, the cup score describes the coffee.

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The road to Djibouti

Ethiopia is landlocked, so nearly every exported bean travels about 900 km from Addis Ababa to the port of Djibouti. Two to four days by road, closer to a day and a half by rail. Why that sits inside every arrival date.

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One email a week: Ethiopian coffee prices, grading, logistics and the rules that change what you can import. Plain, sourced, no spam.

Looking for a specific lot?

The ledger is the background. The season lots are what we are covering now, and the brief is how it starts.